Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Stephen F. Austin (17-36) | 11 | 6 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 7 | -1.5 | 60% | ✔ | |
| Abilene Christian (17-33) | 7 | 8 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | +1.5 | 40% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Jackson State (31-17) | 17 | 9 | -5.0 | 67% | ✔ | 9 | -6.0 | 81% | ✔ | |
| Alcorn State (12-38) | 10 | 4 | +5.0 | 33% | 3 | +6.0 | 19% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Washington State (16-33-1) | 4 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 2 | +5.5 | 21% | ✔ | |
| Arizona (34-22) | 5 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | 7 | -5.5 | 79% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Kansas (27-30) | 6 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | ✘ | 2 | +5.0 | 24% | ✘ | |
| Baylor (37-21) | 5 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | 7 | -5.0 | 76% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Tennessee-Martin (9-39) | 3 | 6 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 5 | +2.5 | 35% | ✔ | |
| Belmont (19-36) | 6 | 9 | -3.0 | 61% | 8 | -2.5 | 65% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Virginia Tech (21-33) | 4 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 5 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
| Boston College (17-32) | 7 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Ohio (20-32) | 4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | ✘ | 5 | -1.5 | 61% | ✘ | |
| Bowling Green (11-39) | 6 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 4 | +1.5 | 39% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Valparaiso (19-34) | 9 | 5 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | 4 | +3.5 | 30% | ✘ | |
| Butler (31-20) | 2 | 8 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -3.5 | 70% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Gonzaga (33-24) | 2 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 6 | -4.0 | 73% | ✘ | |
| BYU (22-28) | 6 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 2 | +4.0 | 27% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Dartmouth (16-22-1) | 2 | 5 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +5.5 | 22% | ✔ | |
| Cal Poly (30-27) | 11 | 8 | -3.0 | 61% | 8 | -5.5 | 78% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Dartmouth (16-22-1) | 3 | 5 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +5.5 | 22% | ✔ | |
| Cal Poly (30-27) | 10 | 8 | -3.0 | 61% | 8 | -5.5 | 78% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Long Beach State (27-30) | 5 | 3 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 2 | +4.0 | 27% | ✘ | |
| Cal State Fullerton (36-25) | 2 | 5 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -4.0 | 73% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Gardner-Webb (31-27) | 3 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 4 | +3.5 | 29% | ✔ | |
| Campbell (35-26) | 6 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -3.5 | 71% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Fairleigh Dickinson (10-37) | 3 | 3 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 1 | +7.0 | 16% | ✔ | |
| Central Connecticut (18-28) | 5 | 7 | -4.0 | 64% | 8 | -7.0 | 84% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| William & Mary (15-39) | 1 | 2 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 0 | +7.0 | 16% | ✔ | |
| Charleston (36-19) | 5 | 6 | -4.0 | 64% | 7 | -7.0 | 84% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Texas State (30-28-1) | 0 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 4 | +4.0 | 27% | ✔ | |
| Coastal Carolina (43-19) | 8 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | 8 | -4.0 | 73% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Fordham (35-19-1) | 4 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 3 | +0.5 | 46% | ✔ | |
| Davidson (33-21) | 5 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | -0.5 | 54% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Morehead State (36-26) | 4 | 9 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 9 | -2.5 | 64% | ✘ | |
| Eastern Kentucky (30-31) | 10 | 8 | +1.0 | 46% | 6 | +2.5 | 36% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Morehead State (36-26) | 10 | 9 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 9 | -2.5 | 64% | ✔ | |
| Eastern Kentucky (30-31) | 2 | 8 | +1.0 | 46% | 6 | +2.5 | 36% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Miami (OH) (34-20) | 4 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 7 | -4.0 | 72% | ✔ | |
| Eastern Michigan (20-33) | 3 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 3 | +4.0 | 28% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Southern Miss (44-18) | 5 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 5 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
| FAU (43-19-1) | 6 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 6 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| UMBC (22-29) | 0 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 2 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
| FGCU (32-21) | 5 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -4.5 | 75% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Old Dominion (15-37) | 4 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 3 | +5.0 | 24% | ✔ | |
| FIU (26-28) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 8 | -5.0 | 76% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Arkansas (48-21) | 6 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 5 | -1.0 | 56% | ✔ | |
| Florida (49-21) | 3 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | +1.0 | 44% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Nevada (29-24) | 5 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 5 | +0.5 | 47% | ✘ | |
| Fresno State (30-24) | 1 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 6 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| La Salle (14-41) | 6 | 3 | +6.0 | 30% | ✔ | 2 | +8.0 | 13% | ✔ | |
| George Washington (32-26) | 11 | 9 | -6.0 | 70% | 10 | -8.0 | 87% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| South Carolina (37-26) | 5 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 4 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
| Georgia (39-21) | 7 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Appalachian State (18-36) | 0 | 3 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 1 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
| Georgia Southern (30-26) | 2 | 5 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -4.5 | 75% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| South Alabama (32-25) | 2 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 7 | -2.5 | 65% | ✘ | |
| Georgia State (25-29) | 7 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 4 | +2.5 | 35% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Chicago State (13-41) | 2 | 3 | +7.0 | 27% | ✔ | 1 | +9.0 | 11% | ✔ | |
| Grand Canyon (33-24) | 3 | 10 | -7.0 | 73% | 10 | -9.0 | 89% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Maine (20-34) | 3 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 3 | +3.0 | 33% | ✔ | |
| Hartford (26-31) | 5 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 6 | -3.0 | 67% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Radford (25-32) | 3 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +4.0 | 28% | ✔ | |
| High Point (34-22) | 7 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -4.0 | 72% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Radford (25-32) | 6 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +4.0 | 28% | ✔ | |
| High Point (34-22) | 15 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -4.0 | 72% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Memphis (20-36) | 0 | 3 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 1 | +6.0 | 19% | ✔ | |
| Houston (38-25) | 2 | 5 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -6.0 | 81% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Creighton (34-16) | 7 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 7 | -3.5 | 71% | ✔ | |
| Illinois State (21-29) | 5 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 4 | +3.5 | 29% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Creighton (34-16) | 5 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 7 | -3.5 | 71% | ✔ | |
| Illinois State (21-29) | 1 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 4 | +3.5 | 29% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Lamar (19-36) | 9 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 51% | ✘ | |
| Incarnate Word (29-26) | 3 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 5 | -0.5 | 49% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Xavier (20-35) | 4 | 5 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 4 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
| Indiana State (31-24) | 6 | 9 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -4.5 | 75% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Xavier (20-35) | 3 | 5 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 4 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
| Indiana State (31-24) | 4 | 9 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -4.5 | 75% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Indiana (40-19) | 4 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 4 | -1.0 | 56% | ✔ | |
| Iowa (29-20) | 2 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 3 | +1.0 | 44% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Indiana (40-19) | 1 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 4 | -1.0 | 56% | ✘ | |
| Iowa (29-20) | 5 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 3 | +1.0 | 44% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| North Dakota State (22-24) | 2 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | ✔ | 7 | -5.0 | 76% | ✔ | |
| IPFW (11-37) | 1 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | 2 | +5.0 | 24% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Jacksonville (40-21) | 6 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 7 | -3.0 | 69% | ✔ | |
| Jacksonville State (32-25) | 4 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | +3.0 | 31% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Elon (36-23) | 3 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 6 | -2.5 | 64% | ✘ | |
| James Madison (26-26) | 4 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 3 | +2.5 | 36% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Grambling (23-26) | 7 | 6 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 5 | +4.0 | 27% | ✔ | |
| Kennesaw State (25-30) | 26 | 9 | -3.0 | 61% | 9 | -4.0 | 73% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Ball State (32-26) | 5 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | 3 | +4.0 | 28% | ✘ | |
| Kent State (39-18) | 1 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -4.0 | 72% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Auburn (43-23) | 4 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 6 | -0.5 | 55% | ✘ | |
| Kentucky (34-22) | 5 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 5 | +0.5 | 45% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| UNC Asheville (13-38) | 1 | 4 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 3 | +6.0 | 20% | ✔ | |
| Liberty (32-26) | 8 | 9 | -5.0 | 67% | 9 | -6.0 | 80% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| UNC Asheville (13-38) | 7 | 4 | +5.0 | 33% | ✘ | 3 | +6.0 | 20% | ✘ | |
| Liberty (32-26) | 4 | 9 | -5.0 | 67% | 9 | -6.0 | 80% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| UTA (22-35) | 1 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 3 | +2.5 | 35% | ✔ | |
| Little Rock (28-28) | 5 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -2.5 | 65% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Troy (42-21) | 6 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | ✔ | 4 | +0.5 | 51% | ✘ | |
| Louisiana (34-25) | 2 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 5 | -0.5 | 49% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Clemson (47-16) | 3 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 49% | ✘ | |
| Louisville (45-19) | 1 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -0.5 | 51% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Pepperdine (31-24) | 6 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 5 | -1.0 | 57% | ✔ | |
| Loyola-Marymount (25-30) | 2 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | +1.0 | 43% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Stetson (48-13) | 12 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | ✔ | 8 | -6.0 | 81% | ✔ | |
| Maryland (24-30) | 3 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 2 | +6.0 | 19% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Wofford (36-23) | 5 | 6 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 6 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
| Mercer (38-22) | 7 | 8 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Virginia (29-25) | 2 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 3 | +2.0 | 38% | ✔ | |
| Miami (FL) (28-26) | 3 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -2.0 | 62% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Michigan State (20-32) | 3 | 3 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 2 | +4.0 | 28% | ✔ | |
| Michigan (33-20) | 12 | 6 | -3.0 | 61% | 6 | -4.0 | 72% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Charlotte (34-24) | 4 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 6 | -1.5 | 59% | ✔ | |
| Middle Tennessee (27-27-1) | 0 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 5 | +1.5 | 41% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Alabama A&M (12-35) | 5 | 9 | -2.0 | 58% | ✘ | 8 | -1.5 | 59% | ✘ | |
| Mississippi Valley State (9-34) | 10 | 7 | +2.0 | 42% | 7 | +1.5 | 41% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Mississippi State (39-29) | 1 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 6 | -2.5 | 65% | ✘ | |
| Missouri (34-22) | 4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 3 | +2.5 | 35% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Cal State Northridge (28-30) | 2 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 2 | +4.5 | 26% | ✔ | |
| Missouri State (40-17) | 3 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -4.5 | 74% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Eastern Illinois (20-31) | 4 | 7 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 7 | +1.0 | 42% | ✔ | |
| Murray State (24-29) | 7 | 9 | -2.0 | 58% | 8 | -1.0 | 58% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Minnesota (43-15) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | ✔ | 9 | -6.0 | 80% | ✔ | |
| Nebraska (24-28) | 1 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 3 | +6.0 | 20% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Air Force (22-29) | 10 | 8 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 6 | +1.0 | 42% | ✘ | |
| New Mexico (20-33-1) | 4 | 7 | +1.0 | 46% | 7 | -1.0 | 58% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Seattle University (32-23) | 6 | 5 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 4 | +3.5 | 31% | ✔ | |
| New Mexico State (39-22) | 12 | 8 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -3.5 | 69% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Central Arkansas (32-25) | 4 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 4 | +2.0 | 39% | ✘ | |
| New Orleans (29-32) | 2 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 6 | -2.0 | 61% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| McNeese State (24-33) | 0 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 4 | +3.0 | 33% | ✔ | |
| Nicholls State (28-32) | 1 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -3.0 | 67% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Florida State (43-19) | 8 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 5 | +1.5 | 41% | ✔ | |
| North Carolina (44-20) | 16 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -1.5 | 59% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Florida State (43-19) | 6 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 5 | +1.5 | 41% | ✘ | |
| North Carolina (44-20) | 3 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -1.5 | 59% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Georgia Tech (31-27) | 2 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 5 | +2.0 | 37% | ✔ | |
| North Carolina State (42-18) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -2.0 | 63% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Georgia Tech (31-27) | 13 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 5 | +2.0 | 37% | ✘ | |
| North Carolina State (42-18) | 4 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -2.0 | 63% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Florida A&M (25-30) | 2 | 5 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +5.0 | 24% | ✔ | |
| North Florida (28-28) | 10 | 8 | -3.0 | 61% | 8 | -5.0 | 76% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Central Michigan (27-30-1) | 6 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 7 | -4.0 | 72% | ✔ | |
| Northern Illinois (18-36) | 0 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 3 | +4.0 | 28% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Central Michigan (27-30-1) | 8 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 7 | -4.0 | 72% | ✔ | |
| Northern Illinois (18-36) | 1 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 3 | +4.0 | 28% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Illinois (32-20) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | ✔ | 8 | -5.0 | 78% | ✔ | |
| Northwestern (15-32) | 4 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 3 | +5.0 | 22% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (28-26) | 6 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | 3 | +2.5 | 33% | ✘ | |
| Northwestern State (38-24) | 1 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 6 | -2.5 | 67% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Wake Forest (25-32) | 2 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 6 | -0.5 | 53% | ✘ | |
| Notre Dame (24-30) | 5 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | +0.5 | 47% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Georgetown (25-30) | 5 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 4 | +3.5 | 30% | ✔ | |
| Ohio State (36-24) | 13 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | 7 | -3.5 | 70% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| West Virginia (29-27) | 6 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 4 | +1.5 | 39% | ✔ | |
| Oklahoma (38-25) | 19 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 5 | -1.5 | 61% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Oral Roberts (38-20) | 3 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | ✘ | 9 | -8.0 | 86% | ✘ | |
| Omaha (15-35) | 4 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 1 | +8.0 | 14% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| San Diego (23-32) | 7 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 5 | +0.5 | 48% | ✘ | |
| Pacific (22-29) | 4 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 6 | -0.5 | 52% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Duke (45-18) | 12 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 6 | -4.0 | 74% | ✔ | |
| Pittsburgh (29-26) | 6 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 2 | +4.0 | 26% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| San Francisco (28-30) | 6 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 3 | +2.0 | 38% | ✘ | |
| Portland (23-30) | 4 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -2.0 | 62% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Southern (9-33) | 13 | 9 | -2.0 | 58% | ✔ | 7 | +1.0 | 42% | ✘ | |
| Prairie View A&M (10-37) | 11 | 7 | +2.0 | 42% | 8 | -1.0 | 58% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Charleston Southern (19-35) | 4 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 5 | -1.0 | 56% | ✘ | |
| Presbyterian College (15-39) | 7 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 4 | +1.0 | 44% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Lipscomb (24-30) | 3 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | 2 | +5.5 | 21% | ✘ | |
| Purdue (38-21) | 1 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -5.5 | 79% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Lipscomb (24-30) | 2 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 2 | +5.5 | 21% | ✔ | |
| Purdue (38-21) | 6 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -5.5 | 79% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Western Kentucky (21-31) | 0 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 2 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
| Rice (26-31-2) | 4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -4.5 | 75% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| UMass (15-29) | 5 | 3 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 1 | +6.5 | 17% | ✔ | |
| Richmond (32-24) | 17 | 7 | -4.0 | 64% | 8 | -6.5 | 83% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Penn State (15-34) | 1 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +3.0 | 32% | ✔ | |
| Rutgers (25-25) | 4 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 6 | -3.0 | 68% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Saint Louis (38-20) | 4 | 6 | -3.0 | 61% | ✔ | 6 | -4.5 | 76% | ✔ | |
| Saint Joseph's (21-27) | 1 | 3 | +3.0 | 39% | 1 | +4.5 | 24% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Dallas Baptist (42-21) | 9 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 6 | -1.0 | 56% | ✔ | |
| Sam Houston State (39-20) | 7 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | +1.0 | 44% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| East Tennessee State (28-25) | 7 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 3 | +4.0 | 26% | ✘ | |
| Samford (37-26) | 4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -4.0 | 74% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Saint Mary's College (31-23) | 4 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 4 | +0.5 | 52% | ✔ | |
| Santa Clara (26-26) | 5 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -0.5 | 48% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Dayton (21-31) | 6 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 5 | +0.5 | 50% | ✘ | |
| South Carolina Upstate (23-28-1) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -0.5 | 50% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Connecticut (37-22-1) | 6 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 50% | ✘ | |
| South Florida (36-22-1) | 4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 5 | -0.5 | 50% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| SIUE (15-37) | 6 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 2 | +4.5 | 26% | ✔ | |
| Southeast Missouri (26-30) | 11 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -4.5 | 74% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Houston Baptist (29-30) | 1 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 2 | +2.5 | 36% | ✔ | |
| Southeastern Louisiana (37-22) | 4 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -2.5 | 64% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| UC Irvine (32-24) | 6 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 5 | -1.0 | 56% | ✔ | |
| Southern Illinois (28-30) | 2 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | +1.0 | 44% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| USC (26-28) | 1 | 2 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 0 | +6.5 | 17% | ✔ | |
| Stanford (46-12) | 5 | 7 | -5.0 | 67% | 7 | -6.5 | 83% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Kansas State (23-31) | 2 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 2 | +4.5 | 24% | ✔ | |
| TCU (33-23) | 4 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | 7 | -4.5 | 76% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Alabama (27-29) | 4 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 4 | +1.5 | 40% | ✔ | |
| Tennessee (29-27) | 5 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -1.5 | 60% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Austin Peay (30-27) | 12 | 6 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 3 | +9.0 | 11% | ✔ | |
| Tennessee Tech (53-12) | 15 | 11 | -5.0 | 67% | 12 | -9.0 | 89% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Austin Peay (30-27) | 0 | 6 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 3 | +9.0 | 11% | ✔ | |
| Tennessee Tech (53-12) | 4 | 11 | -5.0 | 67% | 12 | -9.0 | 89% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Oklahoma State (31-26-1) | 6 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | 3 | +3.5 | 29% | ✘ | |
| Texas (42-23) | 1 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 6 | -3.5 | 71% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Ole Miss (48-17) | 6 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 5 | -1.0 | 58% | ✘ | |
| Texas A&M (40-22) | 7 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | +1.0 | 42% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff (17-25) | 12 | 4 | +5.0 | 33% | ✘ | 4 | +4.0 | 27% | ✘ | |
| Texas Southern (25-28) | 10 | 9 | -5.0 | 67% | 8 | -4.0 | 73% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Northeastern (36-21) | 3 | 5 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 4 | +5.0 | 24% | ✔ | |
| Texas Tech (45-20) | 22 | 9 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -5.0 | 76% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Western Carolina (11-47) | 1 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 5 | +0.5 | 48% | ✔ | |
| The Citadel (19-34) | 5 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 6 | -0.5 | 52% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Cincinnati (28-28) | 3 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 5 | +0.5 | 50% | ✔ | |
| Tulane (25-33) | 5 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 6 | -0.5 | 50% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Louisiana Tech (39-20) | 0 | 5 | -2.0 | 58% | ✘ | 6 | -4.5 | 74% | ✘ | |
| UAB (21-33) | 3 | 3 | +2.0 | 42% | 1 | +4.5 | 26% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| San Jose State (27-30) | 2 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 4 | +0.5 | 51% | ✔ | |
| UC Santa Barbara (27-28-1) | 9 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 5 | -0.5 | 49% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| East Carolina (44-18) | 1 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 5 | -1.0 | 58% | ✘ | |
| UCF (35-21) | 9 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | +1.0 | 42% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Arizona State (23-32) | 4 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 3 | +5.0 | 24% | ✔ | |
| UCLA (38-21) | 5 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | 8 | -5.0 | 76% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Oakland (15-32) | 3 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 2 | +5.5 | 21% | ✔ | |
| UIC (27-18) | 4 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | 7 | -5.5 | 79% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Oakland (15-32) | 1 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 2 | +5.5 | 21% | ✔ | |
| UIC (27-18) | 8 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | 7 | -5.5 | 79% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Arkansas State (20-32) | 0 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 6 | -0.5 | 54% | ✘ | |
| ULM (23-31) | 2 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | +0.5 | 46% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Kingston, RI (Bill Beck Field) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Albany (20-28) | 1 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 2 | +2.5 | 35% | ✘ | |
| UMass-Lowell (25-29) | 0 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -2.5 | 65% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Kingston, RI (Bill Beck Field) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Albany (20-28) | 2 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 2 | +2.5 | 35% | ✔ | |
| UMass-Lowell (25-29) | 3 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -2.5 | 65% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| VMI (26-27) | 1 | 5 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 4 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
| UNCG (39-15) | 9 | 9 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -4.5 | 75% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| VMI (26-27) | 3 | 5 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 4 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
| UNCG (39-15) | 6 | 9 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -4.5 | 75% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Hofstra (23-23) | 5 | 3 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 0 | +7.0 | 16% | ✘ | |
| UNCW (39-23) | 3 | 5 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -7.0 | 84% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| San Diego State (39-21) | 3 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 7 | -2.0 | 61% | ✘ | |
| UNLV (35-24) | 4 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | +2.0 | 39% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Sacramento State (35-25) | 2 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | ✔ | 6 | -2.0 | 62% | ✔ | |
| Utah (16-39) | 1 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | 4 | +2.0 | 38% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Northern Colorado (24-23) | 8 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 7 | -2.5 | 66% | ✔ | |
| Utah Valley (15-37) | 4 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 4 | +2.5 | 34% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Cal State Bakersfield (21-36) | 8 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 49% | ✘ | |
| UTRGV (23-31) | 5 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 5 | -0.5 | 51% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Marshall (19-31) | 3 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 3 | +6.0 | 19% | ✔ | |
| UTSA (32-24) | 4 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -6.0 | 81% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| LSU (39-27) | 2 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 4 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
| Vanderbilt (35-27) | 4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 5 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Rhode Island (24-27) | 2 | 3 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 3 | +0.5 | 51% | ✔ | |
| VCU (34-23) | 5 | 5 | -2.0 | 58% | 4 | -0.5 | 49% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| South Dakota State (18-32) | 6 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 52% | ✘ | |
| Western Illinois (16-31) | 3 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -0.5 | 48% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Toledo (21-32) | 0 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 5 | +1.0 | 44% | ✔ | |
| Western Michigan (23-25) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -1.0 | 56% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Furman (24-28) | 1 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 3 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
| Wichita State (35-21-1) | 11 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | 8 | -4.5 | 75% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Longwood (17-38) | 3 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +3.5 | 30% | ✔ | |
| Winthrop (25-31) | 4 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 6 | -3.5 | 70% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Longwood (17-38) | 0 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +3.5 | 30% | ✔ | |
| Winthrop (25-31) | 8 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 6 | -3.5 | 70% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Milwaukee (24-28) | 5 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 3 | +6.0 | 19% | ✔ | |
| Wright State (39-17) | 6 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -6.0 | 81% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Milwaukee (24-28) | 2 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 3 | +6.0 | 19% | ✔ | |
| Wright State (39-17) | 10 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -6.0 | 81% | |||
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 70%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 70%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.